The Drama is not About Brexit, it’s About Tories

The whole story about Boris Johnson and his defeats is inflated by the opposition, creating unnecessary bubble on the opposition side, with witch the opposition is trying to shadow the fact that it has the majority in the House of Commons but it’s failing to get rid of Boris Johnson and create its own government. The only reason Boris is still PM is not because of Boris but because the opposition can’t agree its own arrangement and create transitional government. With doing so, all drama with Boris would disappear. 

Both sides are playing games, with Boris still having advantage, exploiting the main weakness of opposition, and that’s the fact the opposition have problems with its own arrangement. Arguments of one side, that the date of election is still unknown because Boris need to seek the extension first, or arguments of another side that the date of election is still unknown because of ‘zombie Parliament’, are misleading. Again, opposition could form its own government and seek the extension; on the other side Boris could just resign – something which could easily happen before 19 of October – which would compel opposition to make decisive move and form the government. 

So why Boris just doesn’t resign? It’s obvious he can’t get a deal with EU, and even if he get one, what chances that kind of a deal have in the House? No-deal is by now obviously dead and Boris can’t pass any law with his minority government. So what’s the point of all, he has no power?

Because all of these is not about Boris and his government, nor about Brexit, both of which are already obviously futile and waste of time with the current Parliament, it’s about Tories and their political survival as a one of the two main parties (something I already write in one of my articles), instead of plunging below 15%, which is, with UK political system far worse than it seems with first-past-the-post system: in theory party in UK can receive 15% on national level, but stay without any MPs, or having just a few. This could make Tories, with the agenda of Theresa May, just a secondary political force, something, for example, Liberal Democrats were before Brexit started heating up. In order for Tories to survive as one of main political forces, they need to exploit “do-or-die” strategy to its limits, and that mean try everything, until the end, to get hard Brexit, with, or without a deal. And when become obvious to Brexiteers that Boris is not the one to blame – the one who did everything he could – but the ‘zombie Parliament’ instead. 

That being said, if Boris just resign, he will show weakness and lack of decisiveness – not the thing Brexiteers want to see. They want the fight until the end, until 19 of October, the date which is crucial, and by that day Boris could actually resign, and the reason for that could be the law which forces him to seek the extension or go to jail. He could resign with the pretext he don’t want to seek the extension; for now, he don’t want to resign as a result of these defeats in the Parliament or in the court, which would make him look bad in the eyes of Brexiteers. Will the electoral bite this, we will see, but having no doubt – without Boris Tories would plunged far deeper. 

In another words, drama around Brexit is just a show for Boris to create, in order to make Tories survive this political struggle as one of the main parties in UK. 

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